AL MVP Race: Aaron Judge, Cases for Shohei Ohtani; Odds, Stats, Predictions

2022 mlb The season has provided us with one of the most lucrative MVP races ever.

on the West Coast, Los Angeles Angels pitcher/outfielder Shohei Ohtani Putting together an absolutely unique season. He has 2.43 ERAs and 196 strikeouts in 148 innings, making him one of the best pitchers in the world. He also has 34 home runs at the plate and is 46% better than the average major-league hitter of WRC+ (weighted runs scored plus). Essentially, he has been a top-five pitcher and a top-10 hitter, working both full-time.

on the east Coast, new York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge Chasing history. As of September 21, he has 60 home runs, on pace to break the American League record of 61. He has easily been the best hitter in the world, leading the Yankees throughout the season and leading baseball in the FanGraphs War (10.4). a wide margin. (All figures as of Monday, 19 September).

As the season draws to a close, we’ll keep you updated on each player’s performance while outlining their cases for the AL MVP Award.

Shohei Ohtani. definite case for

The only way we can measure Ohtani against others is to split him into two players, and both Ohtani the hitter and Ohtani the pitcher are compared to most of their teammates. Those versions of him will be in the running for the MVP and Cy Young awards. There is precedent for players to win with production just like them.

2021 NL Cy Young, The Brewers’ Corbin Burns, finished that season with 2.43 ERA in 167 innings. He was impressive enough to dismiss 12.6 batsmen per nine innings. Ohtani the pitcher is on pace to finish 2022 with 161 innings in 2.43 ERA. He has been effective enough to dismiss 12 batsmen in every nine innings. It’s Cy Young-caliber season.

Shohei Ohtani vs Aaron Judge: AL MVP update as the race heats up

Shohei Ohtani vs Aaron Judge: AL MVP update as the race heats up

Ben Verlander and Alex Curry deliver weekly American League MVP updates as Yankees’ Aaron Judge and Angels Shohei Ohtani both continue their MVP affairs.

2016 NL MVP, Cubs’ Chris Bryant, logged 39 homers and 146 OPS+, which was 46% better than the league average as a hitter after factoring in league and ballpark play. Yes, Bryant played the field, and the Ohtani hitter is a designated hitter. He is a DH on pace to finish 2022 with 38 homers and 148 OPS+. This is an MVP-caliber season.

Read Pedro Moura’s full column to learn more about why Ohtani deserves to win.

The Definitive Case for Aaron Judge

Judge’s offensive performance this year is light years better than anyone else in baseball. Kyle Schwarber There are 39 home runs, the second most runs in baseball. He is 20 behind the judge.

The 20-tater gap between the leader and runner-up on the Home Run leaderboard is the largest in baseball history for a season that did not include Babe Ruth.

From August 2 to September 3, the Yankees went 9–20, averaging 3.29 runs per game. During that period, the Yankees did not judge, posting a .204 average, a .266 on-base percentage and a .304 slugging percentage, a subtle .570 good for team Ops. During the same game, Judge tossed a .282/.454/.608 line with 1.063 OPS, contributing nearly a third of his team’s runs. If that wasn’t enough, he also started in center field for 11 of those games.

In that case, with the same level of extreme pressure, Ohtani might have been just as good. But it is a guessing game. The fact that the judge was that good. He did those things; we see them. For a month, he kept the world’s most famous baseball team afloat, making it clear to him what would be the worst regular-season collapse in baseball history.

Read Jake Mintz’s full column to learn more about why Aaron Judge deserves to win.

Ben Verlander on Shohei’s case

Fox Sports MLB analyst Ben Verlander is posting a TikTok video on why Ohtani deserves to win the award.

you can Follow Verlander Here to see more.

Is it time for another award?

Both players have more years than worthy of the award. Pedro Moura created a way to honor Ohtani as well as the judge.

“One possible route could be the creation of some kind of Hitter of the Year honor. Call it Platinum Slugger, call it whatever you want, but does it leave behind the nine hitters who win Silver Sluggers per league, a lot platinum annually for each league’s nine Gold Gloves. Major League Baseball may let members of the Baseball Writers Association of America decide the winner, as is done for Cy Young. Or it may be determined by fan vote. Can be done, as is done for Platinum Gloves. That can drum up extra interest.”

john smoltz weighs in

john smoltz weighs in

John Smoltz reveals who is getting his vote for AL MVP during a discussion with Ben Verlander on “Flippin’ Bats.”

Judge chasing history

Judge is on pace to break the American League’s home record of 61 in one season. You can follow the search for Roger Maris’ records in our tracker.

Aaron Judge Chasing Immortality

Aaron Judge Chasing Immortality

Ben Verlander welcomes Disha Thosar to Aaron Judges’ search for the Yankees’ single-season home run record.

MVP odds

When it comes to gambling, is fox bet Currently listing Judge at -10000 to win this year’s MVP honors (Bet $10 to win a total of $10.10), while Ohtani is +1300 (Bet $10 to win a total of $140,

The judge started the season with a higher AL MVP odds than Ohtani (+2000 vs +350). That changed on June 5, when the judge scored his 21st home run. At the same time, Ohtani was putting more modest numbers on plates and mounds, while his angels Lost 10th game in a row.

Here is our complete betting breakdown.


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