Fantasy Basketball Sleeper, Breakout and Bust NBA 2022-23

To assemble an awesome fantasy basketball roster, you’ll need to make the most of your draft.

So which players will surpass their average draft positions this season? Who will take their game to another level? And which players take the greatest risk of taking a step back?

Our Fantasy Basketball Experts – Andre Snellings, Eric Moody, Eric Carabel And Jim McCormick – Provide your top sleepers, breakouts and busts for the 2022-23 season.


Sleeper: A player who will exceed his average draft position (ADP) in the standard ESPN league.

Andre Snellings – alprene sengunHouston Rockets: Sengun started jumping on the fantasy radar right after he was selected in the Las Vegas Summer League. He does everything on offense, and his per-36 minute numbers from his rookie season confirm this: 16.7 PP36, 9.5 RP36, 4.5 AP36, 1.6 BP36, 1.4 SP36 and 0.7 3P36. The biggest issue on the fantasy front was that as a rookie he played behind only 20.7 mpg. Christian Wood, Well, Wood was traded to the Mavericks in the off-season, clearing the way for Sengun to start a starter minute. His game should be better as a sophistication, and with the extra minutes he has the potential to place strong numbers this season.

Eric Moody – Jalen SuggsOrlando Magic: The Suggs had a rookie season for the Orlando Magic, full of ups and downs, including injury and roster inconsistencies. A rookie trying to get used to the NBA, he averaged 11.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 4.4 APG, but needed to improve his field goal percentage of 36.1%. Suggs isn’t the first high-format NBA player to struggle in his early career, and he won’t be the last. Suggs is a better role-player than a star, and with Magic selecting Paolo Banchero No. 1, he’ll have the opportunity to do exactly that. High usage will appear along with suggs Franz Wagner and will continue to play an important role for Orlando.

Eric Carabel – three zonesSan Antonio Spurs: Now entering his third season from Duke, Jones didn’t see many minutes for Greg Popovich in the first two years. now star djonte dead The Hawks are gone, however, and Jones should start over and watch the key minutes. Jones started last season 11 times and averaged 13.5 PPG and 7.5 APG, and he shot well from the field and line. Jones can’t do what Murray does, but he deserves the ability to pick the top-100 for minutes and assists alone.

Jim McCormick — Devin VaseySan Antonio Spurs: Jokic only, James HardenAnd Luka Doncic Touched the ball compared to DeJonte Murray’s 87.5 times per game for Spurs last season. Murray made all players under 6’7 in rebounding opportunities per game, while also completing top 10 passes and drives per game. Found deep in the draft, the Weasel is a young two-sided wing ready to capitalize on the ocean of opportunities available after Murray’s departure. die and. in only 400 minutes with derrick white Last season, the 21-year-old posted 17.1 points, 2.8 3-pointers, 5.9 boards, 3.7 assists, 2.4 combined blocks and steals (per 36 minutes). Even in the midst of Spurs’ lottery odds, there’s a lot to like about Vassell’s trajectory.


Breakout: A player who will jump to or close to the top of the player’s ranks for the first time due to a dramatic increase in production compared to his previous season.

Andre Snellings – Jalen Brunsonnew York Knicks: Brunson showed he could produce the use vacuum next season playing next to Luka Doncic, but it was when Doncic was out that Brunson really showed his potential. During the 10-game Doncic absence in December, Brunson averaged 21.0 PPG (51.3 FG%, 37.5 3P%, 77.5 FT%), 7.4 APG, 3.5 RPG and 1.5 3PG at 34.7 MPG. But, the more tantalizing pull came when Doncic missed the first three games of the playoffs. Brunson responded during that period at 39.4 mpg by an average of 32.0 ppg (50.7 fg%, 41.2 3p%, 85.0 ft%), 5.3 epg, 5.3 rpg and 2.3 3pg. This offseason, Brunson signed on as the new point guard for the Knicks, meaning he now gets high-use keys for a franchise. He has the real advantage of jumping into the fantasy elite this season.

Eric Moody – Josh GiddyOklahoma City Thunder: I’m a big fan of Giddy, as those who read my column last year will know. He was awarded the Rookie of the Month award four times last year for his stellar performances. There was no other player in the 2021 category to have earned the award more than twice. Giddy averaged 12.5 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 6.4 epg, and 1.0 rpg, with a 22.2% utilization rate. In all those statistical areas, he is well positioned to see growth. The statistical jump that Giddy could make in his second season could be similar to lamello ball, Other than Shai Gilgius-Alexander And giddy, Thunder doesn’t have many playmates.

Eric Carabel – Alpern Sengun, Houston Rockets: The Rockets couldn’t wait to part with Wood and it opens major minutes for Sengun, who averaged 12.1ppg, 8.2rpg over 13 starts as a rookie. Those may not be remarkable figures for many centres, but 20-year-old Sengun is also a pretty strong provider of aid, averaging 3.6 APG at his start. He can also block shots. Give Sengun enough minutes and he could easily become a top-50 fantasy choice.

Jim McCormick — Franz WagnerOrlando Magic: Loki terrifying as a rookie for the Magic, Wagner finished 50th overall on ESPN’s Player Rater, a 20-year-old on a team beset by brutal backcourt injuries and a total absence of stable point guard play. with Markel Fultzdelivery skills and paolo bancheroJoining the roster, Wagner may finally find some “easy” catch-and-shoot work this season. The Michigan product, meanwhile, was a total boss for Germany at EuroBasket this summer, gleaning a series of effective pull-ups and step-back 3-pointers from a live dribble. Given what should have been a bigger role as a building block next to Banchero, Wagner could be working on becoming an early fantasy force in both places ahead.


Bust: A player who hopes to be a solid starter in the standard ESPN league, but will not live up to those expectations this season.

Andre Snellings – Chris PaulPhoenix Suns: In the three seasons from 2016-17 to 2018-19, Paul missed an average of 23 games per season due to injury. He was relatively healthy for the next two seasons, both of which were cut short due to COVID, but then again missed 18 games last season in his 17th season in the NBA. He was still going strong while playing during the season, but in the playoffs, shortly after his 37th birthday, he immediately turned in several of the worst games of his career. During the last five games of his playoffs, Paul averaged only 9.4 PPG, 5.8 APG, 3.4 RPG and 3.6 TO/G in 32.3 MPG. His poor performance played a big part in troubled the Sons in the playoffs. This season, the risk of injury and the risk of an age-related fall overlap in such a way that Paul has a high probability of falling short of his typical level and/or being absent during a major portion of the season.

Eric Moody – Harrison BarnesSacramento Kings: Barnes was fantastic for the Sacramento Kings last season with 16.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.4 epg and a utilization rate of 18.2%. Fantasy managers will expect them to repeat these numbers. The Kings have this off-season considering the influx of talent, which includes Kevin Huerter, Malik MonkiAnd Keegan MurrayIt would be hard for Barnes to do that.

Eric Carabel – Zion WilliamsonNew Orleans Pelicans: Zion was my pick last season too, as it was easy to question how soon he would come back from foot surgery. He missed the whole season. Aside from major sustainability concerns, Williamson’s figures are a bit deceiving, and may not warrant his lofty ADP. After all, while the invincible Williamson can score as he pleases, he’s just a minor rebounder, not a factor in 3-point shooting and can do big damage to a fantasy team’s free throw percentage. Oh, and did we mention he’s far from sustainable?

Jim McCormick — clint capellaAtlanta Hawks: Mr Okongwu The future for the Hawks is central. The third-year center boasts some terrific advanced metrics that often align with the team’s success, and both his contract and age align much better with the team’s superstar backcourt. With regards to Capella’s fantasy value, going with 1.3 blocks from last season’s 11.1 points and 11.9 in 27.6 minutes per night represents a potential limit for this season, one where competition from Okongwu for opportunities will increase. That is to say, he may be okay, but he really has no shot at being special. One of the only viable paths to reset Atlanta’s status as a tax team (ahead of a new commitment for Murray) is moving to Capella, more in the center of an old school with a relatively priced draft position. Adding uncertainty.

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