Pick against spread for each game

After that Brian Dabol was able to dance with his players New York Giants beat Tennessee Titans their on sunday NFL head-coaching debut. Although the game included some familiar Big Blue foibles—a slow start, two turnovers and five sacks allowed—it also included two dynamics that could have legs as this season goes along.

One is Dabol. If anything, he immediately proved that he is not afraid to make big decisions at crucial times. Was he lucky on the two-point conversion? correct. When Saxon Barkley caught Daniel Jones’ shovel pass, the two linebackers, a few feet away, were squared up for tackles. Barkley defeated him at the goal line. Did Daebol get lucky again when Randy Bullock missed a 47-yard field goal at the end of time? hell yeah! But Bill Parcells didn’t send back the Super Bowl XXV ring he just won, right?

No, the important thing is that Dabol appears to be attached to his team (opposite Ben McAdoo and Pat Shurmur) and a normal person (who is opposite the judge).

week 1 . second takeaway from Barkley was torn, It was only one game, but it looks like he’s back after running for 164 yards and taking six catches for 30 more yards. If Barkley can get back to his 2018 form, that changes everything for the Giants.

Now the Carolina Panthers come to MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The stats in the recent 2022 NFL Preview section of the Post showed that over the past four seasons, the Giants were fourth in the NFL against street spreads, but 32nd (dead final) versus the number at home. To be precise, the Giants are 9-22-1 ATS at the time, but that horror show includes the Panthers’ 25-3 home run in 2021.


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Brian Dabol and Saxon Barkley
Brian Dabol and Saxon Barkley
Getty Images (2)

Dating back to last season, Carolina is 0-8 and hasn’t covered the spread even once. This kind of amazing mat roulette game is still around for 9, but here we are.

to select: Giants-2.

New York Jets on Cleveland Browns (+6.5)

The Jets are so toxic in the market, the spread seems almost double what you’d expect to see with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback for the favourite. I believe the Jets have more talent spread across the region than in recent years. The problem is… still… the offensive line. Sculptor Joe Flaco needs time to be able to use the full talents of Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore. If Mike LaFleur’s line and playcalling can keep Miles Garrett from ruining the game, the Jets can cover it.

Miami Dolphins on Baltimore Ravens (+3.5)

Baltimore beat the Jets 15, but the Jets left 11 points on the table with a missed field goal, missed the PAT and dropped a touchdown pass. One of the most surprising results of 2021 was Thursday night in Miami when the 2-7 Dolphins beat the Ravens 6-2, 22-10. One should be tight, so it’s good to have that extra half digit.

Washington Commanders on Detroit Lions (+1.5)

prefers to endorse the Lions as bigger underdogs than short favourites, where they actually have to win games. D’Andre Swift says he is going to play, but he and two key offensive linemen (Frank Ragno and Taylor Decker) are on injury reports. The Commanders are still regarded as a lower-third classification, but this team is a secret contender to win the NFC East.

D'Andre Swift
D’Andre Swift
Getty Images

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5)

The line has moved toward the home underdogs over the course of the week, but the Colts were backed 10.5 in Jacksonville last season, so it’s one heck of an adjustment for no reason. Matt Ryan should have more consistency in his second game as Colt.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers on New Orleans Saints (-2.5)

Yes, Tom Brady is 0-4 with eight interceptions in a booked regular season game against the Saints. You know he wants it, badly, and it was impressive how Brady went after the end of the camp to go missing and destroy the Cowboys.

New England Patriots (-2) over Pittsburgh Steelers

Kind of a wonder the Patriots favored and hate to go against my long-running profitable instincts of Mike Tomlin (46-23 ATS in his career). But the Steelers are below TJ Watt, Nazi Harris is hurting, and Bill Belichick has historically been great from a loss.

Bill Belichick
Bill Belichick
USA TODAY SPORTS

Los Angeles Rams (-10) over Atlanta Falcons

The defending champions had an extra few days to think about being destroyed on opening night by the Bills. The Falcons had a long journey, and what counts to be a long day for one of the least-talented teams in the NFL.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS . at Seattle Seahawks (+8.5)

Make any jokes you want about Geno Smith, but he fits a lot in the Seahawks’ offense with his strong arm and mobility. Tough spot for him with the journey culminating in an emotional Monday night win, but I’m not ready to have nearly double digits with Trey Lance.

Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) over Dallas Cowboys

The spread looks like a lot, but is it really? Is it hard to predict the Bengals 30-20 or 27-17 even if Cooper can do something with the offense of the Rush Cowboys that Dak Prescott couldn’t against the Buccaneers?

Houston Texans (+10) over Denver Broncos

Nathaniel Hackett was the dunk of Week 1 for his bottomless decision to bleed clock to try a 64-yard field goal in Seattle. A double-digit win over the Texans probably isn’t high on his to-do list as he circles the wagons. Also, dating back to last season, Houston has covered four of her last five appearances with Davis Mills.

Davis Mills
Davis Mills
Getty Images

Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5) over Arizona Cardinals

The Raiders were a 2-point conversion away from cover against the Strong Chargers. It’s hard to trust Derek Carr to cover this difficult number, but I think the Cardinals may be at the start of a failure that saw Cliff Kingsbury being the first coach to be fired.

Chicago Bears (+10) over the Green Bay Packers

Rain is forecast for Lambeau on Sunday night, which could bode well for Chicago’s Justin Fields and the Mudders. Alan Lazard may be back for the pack, but double digits from Aaron Rodgers in a prime-time divisional game is a lot to ask.

Bet on the NFL?

monday

Buffalo Bills on Tennessee Titans (-10)

Revenge match for the Bills, who lost 34-31 to Nashville in an entertaining fight last season. Bills also have a few extra days of rest. The Giants showed that if you stop Derrick Henry, there isn’t much to the rest of the Titans’ offense.

Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (+2)

After seeing what the Lions did to the Eagles’ defense over the second half of last week, it’s hard to resist Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook and a few points.

best bet

Buccaneers, Seahawks, Vikings.

lock of the week

Buccaneers (locks 1-0 in 2022).

Last week

6-10, 2-1 best bets overall.

Thursday Night Football Pickup

Chargers (W).

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